{"id":17,"date":"2024-04-08T07:51:28","date_gmt":"2024-04-08T07:51:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifknewearlier.com\/wordpress\/?p=17"},"modified":"2024-05-06T16:12:18","modified_gmt":"2024-05-06T08:12:18","slug":"same-as-ever","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifknewearlier.com\/wordpress\/index.php\/2024\/04\/08\/same-as-ever\/","title":{"rendered":"\u300a\u4e00\u5982\u65e2\u5f80\u300b \u90a3\u4e9b\u5bb9\u6613\u5ffd\u7565\uff0c\u537b\u53c8\u81f3\u95dc\u91cd\u8981\u5730\u5f71\u97ff\u8457\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u4e0d\u8b8a\u6cd5\u5247"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u7406\u89e3\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u8b8a\u8207\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u4ee5\u6046\u4e45\u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u539f\u5247\u4f86\u7a69\u5b9a\u5fc3\u6027\uff0c\u5b89\u7136\u9762\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Jeffrey C. \u5091\u4f5b\u745e\u30fb\u66f4\u65b0\u65bc 2024.04.03<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/ifknewearlier.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/\u200eBookCover.\u200e001-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-100\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ifknewearlier.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/\u200eBookCover.\u200e001-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/ifknewearlier.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/\u200eBookCover.\u200e001-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/ifknewearlier.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/\u200eBookCover.\u200e001-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/ifknewearlier.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/\u200eBookCover.\u200e001-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/ifknewearlier.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/\u200eBookCover.\u200e001.png 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4eba\u7e3d\u662f\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u5e74\u7d00\u5f8c\uff0c\u6703\u958b\u59cb\u88ab\u6b77\u53f2\u6240\u5438\u5f15\uff0c\u95dc\u6ce8\u90a3\u4e9b\u4e99\u53e4\u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u9053\u7406\u2014\u2014\u6211\u7a31\u5b83\u70ba\u300c\u667a\u6167\u300d\uff0c\u4e00\u7a2e\u666e\u4e16\u50f9\u503c\u3001\u771f\u7406\u3001\u4e00\u7a2e\u8655\u4e16\u4e4b\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4eba\u751f\u4f86\u5230\u4e8640\uff0c\u8d8a\u89ba\u5f97\u660e\u767d\u9019\u4e9b\u9053\u7406\u5c0d\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u4e00\u751f\u5f71\u97ff\u4e0a\u8a72\u6709\u591a\u9ebc\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0d\u6703\u91cd\u6f14\uff0c\u4eba\u985e\u7e3d\u662f\u91cd\u8e48\u8986\u5fb9\u3002\u6211\u5011\u7e3d\u662f\u5b78\u4e0d\u6703\u6559\u8a13\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u5404\u500b\u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u667a\u8005\u8aaa\u7684\u8a71\u90fd\u4e00\u6a23\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-contrast-2-color has-text-color has-link-color has-medium-font-size wp-elements-8f57c415179d849a6ace7d75c579de12\">\u2014\u2014\u963f\u5716\u723e\u30fb\u53d4\u672c\u83ef<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u5f9e\u4f86\u4e0d\u66fe\u6539\u8b8a\u7684\u884c\u70ba\uff0c\u537b\u53c8\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u6211\u5011\u5ffd\u7565\u7684\u9053\u7406\uff0c\u624d\u662f\u6b77\u53f2\u6700\u6709\u529b\u7684\u6559\u8a13\u3002\u5b83\u9810\u544a\u8005\u8457\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u666f\u8c61\uff0c\u6620\u7167\u51fa\u6bcf\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4eba\u985e\u884c\u70ba\u90fd\u860a\u85cf\u8457\u6b77\u4e45\u5f4c\u65b0\u7684\u6559\u8a13\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u6240\u80fd\u5b78\u5230\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u3002\u666e\u4e16\u771f\u7406\u4e0d\u662f\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u6a5f\u6703\u3001\u904b\u6c23\u6216\u610f\u5916\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6c38\u9060\u4e0d\u6703\u6539\u8b8a\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u6eff\u61f7\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5730\u77e5\u9053\u5b83\u5011\u6703\u5982\u4f55\u5f62\u5851\u672a\u4f86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u6211\u5011\u719f\u7a14\u9019\u4e9b\u9053\u7406\uff0c\u7576\u672a\u4f86\u9762\u81e8\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u8457\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u56de\u61c9\uff0c\u4eba\u751f\u4e5f\u8a31\u80fd\u5920\u66f4\u9806\u9042\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6469\u6839\u30fb\u8c6a\u745f\uff08Morgan Housel\uff09\u662f\u66a2\u92b7\u66f8\u300a\u81f4\u5bcc\u5fc3\u614b\u300b\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\uff0c\u539f\u6587\u66f8\u540d\u5176\u5be6\u662f The Psychology of Money \u91d1\u9322\u5fc3\u7406\u5b78\uff0c\u8ac7\u7684\u662f\u95dc\u65bc\u9762\u5c0d\u8ca1\u5bcc\u3001\u8caa\u5a6a\u8207\u5e78\u798f\u7684\u8ab2\u984c\u8207\u5fc3\u614b\u3002\u800c\u6b64\u66f8\u300a\u4e00\u5982\u65e2\u5f80\u300b\u6709\u5982\u524d\u4e00\u672c\u66f8\u7684\u5ef6\u4f38\uff0c\u4ee5\u6d41\u66a2\u7684\u6587\u7b46\u5f9e\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u5c0f\u6545\u4e8b\u8ff0\u8aaa\u8d77\uff0c\u63a5\u4ee5\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u6545\u4e8b\u3001\u9644\u4e0a\u4e00\u500b\u9053\u7406\uff0c\u518d\u4ee5\u6b64\u9053\u7406\u5ef6\u4f38\u8ac7\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u89c0\u5ff5\u3001\u53e6\u4e00\u6bb5\u6545\u4e8b\uff0c\u6d41\u66a2\u5730\u5e36\u6211\u5011\u8ac7\u8ac7\u9019\u4e9b\u4ed6\u6240\u89c0\u5bdf\u5230\u7684\u4e0d\u8b8a\u9053\u7406\uff0c\u95dc\u65bc\u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u4eba\u6027\u6cd5\u5247\u8207\u81f4\u5bcc\u5fc3\u614b\uff0c\u4e00\u6a23\u7cbe\u5f69\u4e26\u5bcc\u542b\u555f\u767c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u5728\u8aaa\u4ec0\u9ebc<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u672c\u66f8\u4f5c\u8005\u8209\u4e86 23 \u500b\u91cd\u8981\u4f46\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u6211\u5011\u5ffd\u7565\u7684\u9053\u7406\u3002\u5206\u4eab\u5176\u4e2d\u4e03\u500b\u5f71\u97ff\u6211\u6700\u6df1\u4e14\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u89c0\u5ff5\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u6211\u5011\u53cd\u8986\u601d\u7d22\u8207\u9298\u8a18\u5728\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:44px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. \u95dc\u65bc\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5c0d\u6b63\u5728\u767c\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u8207\u7121\u6cd5\u9810\u6599\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u80fd\u505a\u7684\u6709\u591a\u9ebd\u4fb7\u9650<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u975e\u5e38\u5584\u65bc\u9810\u6e2c\u672a\u4f86\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u4e0d\u5584\u65bc\u9810\u6e2c\u610f\u5916\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5f8c\u8005\u5f80\u5f80\u66f4\u70ba\u95dc\u9375\uff0c\u4e5f\u6c38\u9060\u662f\u6700\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u9810\u6599\u5230\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u70ba\u6b64\u6e96\u5099\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u6263\u9664\u4f60\u8a8d\u70ba\u81ea\u5df1\u5df2\u7d93\u8003\u616e\u7684\u4e00\u5207\u4e8b\u7269\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u5269\u4e0b\u7684\u5c31\u662f\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u7576\u4f60\u70ba\u81ea\u5df1\u60f3\u5f97\u5230\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u505a\u597d\u6e96\u5099\uff0c\u5728\u6b64\u5916\u7684\u6771\u897f\u624d\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u98a8\u96aa\u5c31\u662f\u4f60\u6c92\u9810\u6599\u5230\u7684\u4e8b\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6700\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u65b0\u805e\u3001\u6700\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3001\u5f71\u97ff\u6700\u6df1\u9060\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u7e3d\u662f\u4f60\u6c38\u9060\u7121\u6cd5\u9810\u6599\u5230\u7684\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\u89e3\u91cb\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u72c0\u6cc1\u7684\u300c\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u300d\u7f55\u6709\u589e\u6e1b\uff1b\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u662f\u4eba\u5011\u5c0d\u6f5b\u5728\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u7121\u77e5\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u8a62\u554f\u300c\u6700\u5927\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f\u300d\u5c31\u50cf\u662f\u5728\u554f\u300c\u4f60\u9810\u671f\u6703\u767c\u751f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u610f\u5916\uff1f\u300d\u3002\u4f60\u5982\u679c\u77e5\u9053\u6700\u5927\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff0c\u5c31\u6703\u6709\u6240\u56e0\u61c9\uff0c\u800c\u56e0\u61c9\u63aa\u65bd\u6703\u964d\u4f4e\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u60f3\u50cf\u529b\u5230\u4e0d\u4e86\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5371\u96aa\u4e8b\u7269\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u6c38\u9060\u7121\u6cd5\u99d5\u99ad\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u9053\u7406\u662f\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u5341\u5e74\u6700\u5927\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u8207\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u65b0\u805e\uff0c\u90fd\u6703\u662f\u4eca\u5929\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u5728\u8ac7\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u98a8\u96aa\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u662f\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u6b63\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u4f60\u7121\u6cd5\u9810\u6599\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u98a8\u96aa\u5c31\u662f\u4f60\u62ff\u5b83\u6c92\u8f4d\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f60\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u70ba\u60f3\u50cf\u4e0d\u5230\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u505a\u8a08\u756b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u600e\u9ebc\u505a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u63a5\u53d7\u4e00\u9805\u4e8b\u5be6\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u95dc\u65bc\u4e16\u754c\u6b63\u5728\u767c\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u7684\u89c0\u9ede\u6709\u591a\u9ebc\u4fb7\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u7684\u4e8b\u592a\u591a\u4e86\u3002\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u672a\u4f86\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u904e\u53bb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6211\u5011\u9700\u7406\u89e3\u5169\u4ef6\u4e8b\uff1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u6295\u8cc7\u65bc\u6e96\u5099\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u6295\u8cc7\u65bc\u9810\u6e2c\u3002\u9810\u671f\uff08expectation\uff09\u548c\u9810\u6e2c\uff08forecast\uff09\u622a\u7136\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u9810\u671f\u6bd4\u9810\u6e2c\u66f4\u6709\u50f9\u503c\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5982\u679c\u53ea\u70ba\u53ef\u9810\u898b\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u505a\u6e96\u5099\uff0c\u51e1\u662f\u4f60\u6c92\u770b\u5230\u7684\u90fd\u6703\u6beb\u7121\u6e96\u5099\u3002\u2014\u2014\u51e1\u4e8b\u8981\u7a0d\u5fae\u4e0d\u5408\u7406\u4e00\u9ede\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5132\u84c4\u91d1\u984d\u611f\u89ba\u6709\u4e00\u9ede\u592a\u591a\u624d\u662f\u9069\u7576\u6c34\u6e96\u3002\u8981\u611f\u5230\u904e\u5ea6\u5132\u84c4\uff0c\u9019\u7b46\u9322\u61c9\u8a72\u9ad8\u5230\u8b93\u4f60\u6709\u4e00\u9ede\u76ba\u7709\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u7121\u8ad6\u4f60\u8a8d\u70ba\u81ea\u5df1\u53ef\u4ee5\u80cc\u591a\u5c11\u50b5\u52d9\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u91d1\u984d\u6216\u8a31\u61c9\u8a72\u518d\u5c11\u4e00\u9ede\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u6700\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u4e8b\u4ef6\u90fd\u770b\u4f3c\u8352\u8b2c\u7121\u7a3d\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u6e96\u5099\u4e5f\u4e0d\u61c9\u8a72\u5408\u4e4e\u5e38\u7406\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\uff0c\u6700\u597d\u7684\u8ca1\u52d9\u898f\u5283\u5c31\u662f\uff0c\u50cf\u60b2\u89c0\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\u4e00\u6a23\u5132\u84c4\uff0c\u50cf\u6a02\u89c0\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\u4e00\u6a23\u6295\u8cc7\u3002\u6211\u5011\u8a72\u5e73\u8861\u904b\u7528\u9019\u5169\u7a2e\u5fc3\u614b\uff0c\u9019\u6c38\u9060\u90fd\u6703\u662f\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6b23\u559c\u8207\u7d55\u671b<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u9032\u6b65\u9700\u8981\u6a02\u89c0\u8207\u60b2\u89c0\u4e26\u5b58\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u76f8\u4fe1\u5f9e\u73fe\u5728\u5230\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u8def\u4e0a\u6703\u6709\u4e00\u9023\u4e32\u7684\u632b\u6298\u3001\u5931\u671b\u3001\u610f\u5916\u8207\u9707\u76ea\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u5728\u9762\u5c0d\u9019\u500b\u73fe\u5be6\u4e4b\u969b\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u62b1\u6301\u8457\u4e8b\u60c5\u6703\u597d\u8f49\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u8981\u62b1\u6301\u5805\u5b9a\u4e0d\u79fb\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\u76f8\u4fe1\u4e8b\u60c5\u6703\u597d\u8f49\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u8981\u63a5\u53d7\u6700\u6b98\u9177\u7684\u4e8b\u5be6\uff0c\u7121\u8ad6\u4e8b\u5be6\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u90fd\u63a5\u7d0d\u5b83\uff0c\u5169\u8005\u4e4b\u9593\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u7a2e\u5e73\u8861\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u53ea\u6709\u60b2\u89c0\u5230\u6703\u60f3\u76e1\u8fa6\u6cd5\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u6c42\u751f\u5b58\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u6210\u70ba\u9577\u671f\u7684\u6a02\u89c0\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6a02\u89c0\u8207\u60b2\u89c0\u5b58\u5728\u540c\u4e00\u500b\u5149\u8b5c\u4e0a\u3002\u5e7e\u4e4e\u5728\u6bcf\u4e00\u9805\u6210\u529f\u7684\u9577\u671f\u6210\u5c31\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u5169\u8005\u5171\u540c\u4e26\u5b58\u3002\u5b83\u5011\u627f\u8a8d\u6b77\u53f2\u662f\u4e00\u9023\u4e32\u7684\u554f\u984c\u3001\u5931\u671b\u8207\u632b\u6298\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u6a02\u89c0\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u77e5\u9053\u632b\u6298\u7121\u6cd5\u963b\u7d55\u6700\u7d42\u7684\u9032\u6b65\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b77\u53f2\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u6559\u8a13\u662f\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9577\u671f\u4f86\u770b\u901a\u5e38\u76f8\u7576\u4e0d\u932f\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u4f86\u770b\u5247\u901a\u5e38\u76f8\u7576\u7cdf\u7cd5\u3002\u6211\u5011\u9700\u8981\u8cbb\u4e00\u756a\u52aa\u529b\u624d\u80fd\u8abf\u548c\u5169\u8005\uff0c\u4e26\u5b78\u7fd2\u904b\u7528\u9019\u770b\u4f3c\u885d\u7a81\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u61c9\u5c0d\u672a\u77e5\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. \u671f\u671b\u548c\u73fe\u5be6<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u73fe\u4ee3\u793e\u6703\u7684\u60b2\u5287\uff1a\u751f\u6d3b\u88e1\u7684\u5404\u500b\u5c64\u9762\u90fd\u5728\u9032\u6b65\uff0c\u5e78\u798f\u611f\u537b\u5728\u539f\u5730\u8e0f\u6b65\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>**\u4f60\u7684\u5e78\u798f\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u4f60\u7684\u300c\u671f\u671b\u300d\u3002\u5e78\u798f\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b88\u5247\u5c31\u662f\u964d\u4f4e\u671f\u671b\u3002**\u6211\u771f\u7684\u76f8\u7576\u7684\u8a8d\u540c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote has-contrast-2-color has-text-color has-link-color has-medium-font-size wp-elements-5e759640b00c9032336eb64e969ce1fa is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"has-contrast-color has-text-color has-link-color has-x-large-font-size wp-elements-f469aea5e7a9feb6fb6b2a34c756aa19\">\u8b93\u4e16\u754c\u8f49\u52d5\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u8caa\u5a6a\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5ac9\u5992\u3002<\/p>\n<cite>\u2014\u2014 \u67e5\u7406\u30fb\u8499\u683c<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5982\u4f55\u4e0d\u8b93\u671f\u671b\u503c\u8ddf\u8457\u6301\u7e8c\u8b8a\u597d\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u4e00\u518d\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u662f\u4eba\u751f\u9700\u4e0d\u65b7\u9762\u5c0d\u7684\u8ab2\u984c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u975e\u5e38\u559c\u6b61\u5728\u300a\u91cd\u555f\u4eba\u751f\u300b\u66f8\u88e1\u4f5c\u8005\u4e9e\u745f\u30fb\u5e03\u9b6f\u514b\u65af\u8ac7\u5230\u8981\u5982\u4f55\u7372\u5f97\u6eff\u8db3\u611f\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u6eff\u8db3\u611f = \u4f60\u64c1\u6709\u7684 \/ \u4f60\u60f3\u8981\u7684<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u53ea\u6709\u6e1b\u5c11\u4f60\u60f3\u8981\u7684\uff0c\u624d\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u8cbc\u8fd1\u6e34\u671b\u7684\u6eff\u8db3\u611f\u3002\u4f60\u64c1\u6709\u7684\u8ffd\u4e0d\u4e0a\u4f60\u60f3\u8981\u7684\u53ea\u6703\u4e00\u518d\u9677\u5165\u75db\u82e6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8ca1\u5bcc\u6c92\u6709\u6a19\u6e96\uff0c\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u662f\u300c\u76f8\u5c0d\u7684\u6bd4\u8f03\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u793e\u7fa4\u5a92\u9ad4\u4e0a\uff0c\u4eba\u5011\u8207\u5176\u8aaa\u662f\u5728\u6e9d\u901a\u4ea4\u6d41\uff0c\u4e0d\u5982\u8aaa\u662f\u5728\u70ba\u5f7c\u6b64\u8868\u6f14\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u7f8e\u597d\u88ab\u6e32\u67d3\uff0c\u9670\u6697\u88ab\u96b1\u85cf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u62ff\u5225\u4eba\u7cbe\u5fc3\u92ea\u6392\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u7cbe\u5f69\u7247\u6bb5\uff0c\u62ff\u4f86\u4f5c\u70ba\u548c\u540c\u5115\u300c\u6bd4\u8f03\u7684\u90a3\u628a\u5c3a\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5c31\u7b97\u64c1\u6709\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u6240\u5f97\uff0c\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8ca1\u5bcc\uff0c\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u623f\u5c4b\uff0c\u4e00\u5207\u5f88\u5feb\u90fd\u6703\u88ab\u81a8\u8139\u7684\u671f\u671b\u6240\u627c\u6bba\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u600e\u9ebc\u505a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5927\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u90fd\u96e3\u9003\u88ab\u5225\u4eba\u64c1\u6709\u800c\u81ea\u5df1\u6c92\u6709\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u6240\u727d\u52d5\u3002\u5be6\u969b\u60c5\u6cc1\u7121\u95dc\u7dca\u8981\u3002\u671f\u671b\u8207\u73fe\u5be6\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u9d3b\u6e9d\u624d\u662f\u89f8\u767c\u60c5\u7dd2\u7684\u958b\u95dc\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u60f3\u8981\u6d3b\u5f97\u5e78\u798f\u5feb\u6a02\uff0c\u300c\u7ba1\u7406\u671f\u671b\u300d\u8a72\u6709\u591a\u91cd\u8981\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u8a72\u9ad4\u8a8d\u5230\u5169\u4ef6\u4e8b\uff1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u4e0d\u65b7\u63d0\u9192\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u8ca1\u5bcc\u8207\u5e78\u798f\u662f\u5305\u542b\u5169\u500b\u9805\u76ee\u7684\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\uff1a\u4e00\u5411\u662f\u4f60\u64c1\u6709\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u9805\u662f\u4f60\u7684\u671f\u671b\uff0f\u9700\u6c42\u3002 <strong>\u62fc\u547d\u95dc\u5fc3\u5982\u4f55\u5f97\u5230\u66f4\u591a\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u592a\u5728\u610f\u5982\u4f55\u7ba1\u7406\u671f\u671b\uff0c\u6839\u672c\u6c92\u6709\u610f\u7fa9\u53c8\u4e0d\u5408\u7406\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u641e\u61c2\u671f\u671b\u904a\u6232\u600e\u9ebc\u73a9\u3002\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u5fc3\u7406\u904a\u6232\u3002 \u5927\u591a\u6578\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u4f60\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u60f3\u8981\u7684\u6771\u897f\u3002\u4f60\u60f3\u8981\u7684\u5176\u5be6\u662f\u611f\u53d7\u671f\u671b\u548c\u73fe\u5be6\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u8207\u4ed6\u4eba\u6bd4\u8f03\u8077\u6daf\u3001\u4e8b\u696d\u8207\u751f\u6d3b\u6642\uff0c\u6709\u4e9b\u4e8b\u503c\u5f97\u6211\u5011\u6ce8\u610f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6bd4\u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u66f4\u56f0\u96e3\uff0c\u53c8\u4e0d\u50cf\u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u90a3\u9ebc\u6709\u8da3<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u4eba\u4e0d\u6703\u900f\u9732\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u8b93\u4ed6\u5011\u75db\u82e6\u3001\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u8b93\u4ed6\u5011\u6050\u61fc\u3001\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u8b93\u4ed6\u5011\u4e0d\u5b89\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6703\u8868\u660e\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u5426\u771f\u7684\u5feb\u6a02\u3002\u4eba\u5f88\u5c11\u6703\u5766\u8aa0\u544a\u8a34\u5225\u4eba\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u7f3a\u9ede\u8207\u5931\u6557\u3002\u4f60\u6c38\u9060\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u5225\u4eba\u96b1\u85cf\u8457\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6399\u624e\u3002\u7528\u865b\u5047\u4f46\u770b\u4f3c\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\u9762\u5177\uff0c\u906e\u4f4f\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u5167\u5fc3\u7684\u714e\u71ac\u3002\u6bcf\u500b\u4eba\u90fd\u5728\u548c\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u56f0\u96e3\u596e\u9b25\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u4e0d\u6703\u5230\u8655\u5ba3\u63da\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u300c\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u662f\u92b7\u552e\u300d\u3002\u4eba\u5011\u7cbe\u5fc3\u599d\u9ede\u7528\u4ee5\u662f\u4eba\u7684\u9762\u8c8c\u3002\u6bcf\u500b\u4eba\u90fd\u5728\u8a66\u5716\u5851\u9020\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u3002\u65e2\u7136\u90fd\u662f\u5851\u9020\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u4e0d\u662f\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u89c0\u9ede\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u800c\u7576\u4eba\u5011\u4e0d\u5920\u4e86\u89e3\u4f60\uff0c\u770b\u4e0d\u51fa\u4f60\u7684\u5e73\u5eb8\uff0c\u6700\u5bb9\u6613\u8aaa\u670d\u4ed6\u5011\u76f8\u4fe1\u4f60\u5f88\u7279\u5225\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5f9e\u5916\u9762\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u842c\u4e8b\u842c\u7269\u90fd\u6703\u66f4\u7f8e\u597d\u3002\u4eba\u53ea\u6709\u5728\u5167\u90e8\uff0c\u5728\u58d5\u6e9d\u88e1\u624d\u8b68\u770b\u5230\u6240\u6709\u4e00\u584c\u7cca\u5857\u7684\u4eba\u683c\u7279\u8cea\u8207\u8271\u96e3\u842c\u5206\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u3002\u9019\u9053\u7406\u540c\u6a23\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u8077\u5834\u7684\u9078\u64c7\uff0c\u6bcf\u500b\u5de5\u4f5c\u90fd\u6709\u56f0\u96e3\u4e4b\u8655\uff0c\u6bcf\u9593\u516c\u53f8\u90fd\u6709\u96e3\u582a\u7684\u4e00\u9762\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5982\u679c\u5927\u5bb6\u80fd\u5920\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u6240\u656c\u4f69\u7684\u4eba\u6216\u8a31\u53ea\u662f\u5584\u65bc\u628a\u63e1\u6a5f\u6703\u7684\u5e73\u51e1\u4eba\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u5c31\u6703\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u4eba\u9858\u610f\u5617\u8a66\u6311\u6230\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u4f60\u53ea\u6709\u6df1\u5165\u77ad\u89e3\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u624d\u6703\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u4eba\u518d\u600e\u9ebc\u51fa\u8272\uff0c\u9802\u591a\u53ea\u80fd\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e8b\u60c5\u4e0a\u6210\u70ba\u5c08\u5bb6\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u4e8b\u60c5\u9084\u662f\u4e0d\u9748\u5149\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. 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class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6211\u5011\u9700\u7406\u89e3\u5230\uff1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u4f60\u8aaa\u4ec0\u9ebc\u3001\u505a\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4f60\u600e\u9ebc\u8aaa\u3001\u600e\u9ebc\u5448\u73fe\uff0c\u4f60\u5c31\u6703\u770b\u5230\u66f4\u591a\u6a5f\u6703\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u503c\u5f97\u601d\u8003\u7684\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u554f\u984c\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol 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class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u5c0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u662f\u5fc3\u9748\u4e0a\u6700\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u75be\u75c5\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6211\u5011\u5fc5\u9808\u627f\u8a8d\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e8b\u5be6\uff1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol 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style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. \u5e73\u975c\u6703\u64ad\u4e0b\u760b\u72c2\u7684\u7a2e\u5b50<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u7a69\u5b9a\u6703\u9020\u6210\u4e0d\u7a69\u5b9a\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7576\u76f8\u4fe1\u4e0d\u6703\u6709\u4e8b\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\u6108\u4f86\u6108\u5f37\uff0c\u5c07\u628a\u6211\u5011\u63a8\u5411\u6703\u51fa\u4e8b\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u80a1\u50f9\u4f30\u503c\u6108\u9ad8\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c31\u6108\u654f\u611f\u3002\u4eba\u5011\u6108\u662f\u8a8d\u70ba\u5e02\u5834\u4fdd\u8b49\u4e0d\u6703\u5d29\u6f70\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6108\u53ef\u80fd\u5d29\u6f70\u3002\u5149\u662f\u300c\u7a69\u5b9a\u300d\u9019\u500b\u60f3\u6cd5\u5c31\u6703\u5f15\u767c\u4eba\u5011\u300c\u8070\u660e\u800c\u7406\u667a\u300d\u7684\u884c\u52d5\uff0c\u628a\u8cc7\u7522\u50f9\u683c\u62ac\u9ad8\u5230\u8db3\u4ee5\u9020\u6210\u4e0d\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u597d\u6642\u5149\u7684\u5f14\u8a6d\u5c31\u5728\u65bc\u5b83\u6b63\u662f\u5b55\u80b2\u81ea\u6eff\u5fc3\u614b\u4ee5\u53ca\u6ecb\u990a\u5c0d\u8b66\u793a\u5b58\u7591\u7684\u601d\u60f3\u6eab\u5e8a\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6709\u4eba\u4ee5\u70ba\u4ed6\u5011\u5df2\u7d93\u64ca\u5012\u67d0\u7a2e\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u4f60\u5f88\u96e3\u8b93\u4ed6\u5011\u76f8\u4fe1\u90a3\u7a2e\u98a8\u96aa\u6703\u5a01\u8105\u4ed6\u5011\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5982\u540c\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u75ab\u60c5\uff0c\u4eba\u5011\u525b\u9047\u4e0a\u6642\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\u3002\u4eba\u985e\u5728\u9762\u5c0d\u50b3\u67d3\u75c5\u7684\u6230\u5f79\u5728\u4e0a\u500b\u4e16\u7d00\u5df2\u7d93\u53d6\u5f97\u592a\u5927\u7684\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u505a\u7684\u592a\u597d\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u65bc\u8f15\u5ffd\u5230\u8b93\u4e8b\u60c5\u6f14\u8b8a\u6210\u4e00\u767c\u4e0d\u53ef\u6536\u62fe\u7684\u6158\u70c8\u4e8b\u614b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u985e\u4f3c\u7269\u6975\u5fc5\u53cd\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5b83\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u662f\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol 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class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u592a\u591a\u3001\u592a\u6025\u3001\u592a\u5feb<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u4e8b\u7269\u90fd\u6709\u81ea\u7136\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u898f\u6a21\u8207\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e8b\u7269\u904b\u4f5c\u9806\u66a2\u7684\u9069\u7576\u72c0\u614b\u3002\u5982\u679c\u903e\u8d8a\u9650\u5ea6\uff0c\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u6703\u9069\u5f97\u5176\u53cd\u3002\u8a31\u591a\u4e8b\u7269\u751a\u81f3\u751f\u7269\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5617\u8a66\u7e2e\u653e\u5230\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u898f\u6a21\u6216\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e00\u5207\u5c31\u6703\u5206\u5d29\u96e2\u6790\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f9e\u9577\u671f\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u80a1\u7968\u80fd\u5e36\u4f86\u6536\u76ca\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u60f3\u8981\u66f4\u5feb\u7372\u5f97\u5831\u916c\uff0c\u5c31\u6703\u906d\u53d7\u61f2\u7f70\u6027\u7684\u640d\u5bb3\u3002\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u7684\u5404\u7a2e\u6295\u8cc7\u5931\u8aa4\uff0c90%\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u60f3\u8981\u58d3\u7e2e\u9019\u500b<strong>\u81ea\u7136\u53c8\u300c\u6700\u9069\u5408\u300d\u7684\u6301\u6709\u671f\u9593<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6240\u8b02\u7684\u6b32\u901f\u5247\u4e0d\u9054\uff0c\u597d\u6ce8\u610f\u52a0\u901f\u592a\u5feb\uff0c\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u6703\u8b8a\u6210\u721b\u4e3b\u610f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u552f\u6709\u5728\u6210\u9577\u904e\u7a0b\u4e2d\u6700\u7d42\u80fd\u5920\u6c70\u5f31\u7559\u5f37\uff0c\u6210\u9577\u624d\u662f\u597d\u4e8b<\/strong>\u3002\u5f37\u8feb\u6210\u9577\u3001\u52a0\u901f\u6210\u9577\u3001\u4eba\u70ba\u52a9\u9577\u7684\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u9069\u5f97\u5176\u53cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u5275\u9020\u529b\u6700\u5927\u7684\u963b\u7919\u662f\u6c92\u8010\u5fc3\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c0d\u52a0\u901f\u9032\u7a0b\u3001\u8ffd\u6c42\u8868\u73fe\u3001\u4e00\u8209\u6210\u540d\u7684\u90a3\u80a1\u5e7e\u4e4e\u7121\u6cd5\u64cb\u7684\u6e34\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u600e\u9ebc\u505a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\uff0c\u5f9e\u611b\u60c5\u5230\u8077\u6daf\u3001\u518d\u5230\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u5169\u4ef6\u4e8b\u800c\u6709\u50f9\u503c\uff1a<strong>\u8010\u5fc3<\/strong>\u8207<strong>\u7a00\u7f3a<\/strong>\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8981\u5275\u9020\u7a00\u7f3a\u7368\u7279\u3001\u8207\u4eba\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u5dee\u7570\u3001\u4e26\u4e14\u6975\u5177\u50f9\u503c\u8207\u7f8e\u597d\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u8010\u5fc3\u5730\u82b1\u6642\u9593\u5efa\u7acb\u6253\u9020\u3002<strong>\u5177\u5099\u8b93\u4e8b\u7269\u6210\u9577\u7684\u8010\u5fc3\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6210\u9577\u5f8c\u8b93\u4eba\u6b23\u7fa8\u7684\u7a00\u7f3a\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator 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class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u60f3\u8981\u5982\u9858\u4ee5\u511f\uff0c\u6700\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u5c31\u662f\u52aa\u529b\u8b93\u81ea\u5df1\u503c\u5f97\u64c1\u6709\u4f60\u60f3\u8981\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u3002\u9019\u683c\u89c0\u5ff5\u5c31\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u7c21\u55ae\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u9435\u5247\u3002\u4f60\u8981\u7d66\u4e16\u754c\u90a3\u4e9b\u63db\u4f5c\u662f\u4f60\u4e5f\u6703\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u6771\u897f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-contrast-2-color has-text-color has-link-color has-medium-font-size wp-elements-2d28efaec8e7264f352380362c03fab4\">\u2014\u2014\u67e5\u7406\u30fb\u8499\u683c<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5982\u540c\u4f60\u60f3\u8981\u5e78\u798f\u3001\u60f3\u8981\u9047\u4e0a\u597d\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u534a\uff0c\u5c31\u5fc5\u9808\u6e96\u5099\u597d\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u8b93\u81ea\u5df1\u6210\u70ba\u503c\u5f97\u914d\u5f97\u4e0a\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u5305\u542b\u5c0d\u5e78\u798f\u7406\u89e3\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6211\u5011\u61c9\u8a72\u9ad4\u8a8d\u5230\uff1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol 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class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5fae\u5c0f\u800c\u91cd\u8981<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u707d\u96e3\u90fd\u662f\u7531\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5fae\u5c0f\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u6240\u5f15\u8d77\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u98a8\u96aa\u500b\u5225\u4f86\u770b\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u5ffd\u7565\uff0c\u4f46\u5f7c\u6b64\u52a0\u627f\u5247\u6703\u7522\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u3002\u7576\u5fae\u5c0f\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u8907\u5408\u6210\u610f\u60f3\u4e0d\u5230\u7684\u975e\u51e1\u5927\u4e8b\u6642\uff0c\u6700\u8b93\u4eba\u9a5a\u5947\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u624d\u6703\u767c\u751f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u5c0f\u98a8\u96aa\u4e0d\u662f\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u5668\uff0c\u5c0f\u98a8\u96aa\u662f\u89f8\u767c\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u677f\u6a5f\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\u8209\u4e86\u6838\u5f48\u505a\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002\u8607\u806f\u66fe\u7d93\u88fd\u9020\u51fa\u4e00\u679a\u6838\u5f48\uff0c\u5a01\u529b\u6bd4\u982d\u5728\u5ee3\u5cf6\u7684\u90a3\u679a\u539f\u5b50\u5f48\u5f37\u4e00\u5343\u4e94\u767e\u500d\u3002\u4ed6\u53eb\u505a\u300c\u6c99\u7687\u70b8\u5f48\u300d\uff08Tsar 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class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"has-large-font-size\">\u4eba\u985e\u6700\u5927\u7684\u7f3a\u9677\u662f\u7121\u6cd5\u7406\u89e3\u6307\u6578\u51fd\u6578\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-contrast-2-color has-text-color has-link-color has-medium-font-size wp-elements-8038c1842ec6229a88dbcca80edf80a7\">\u2014\u2014\u827e\u4f2f\u7279\u30fb\u5df4\u7279\u5229\u7279\uff08Albert Bartlett\uff09<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6307\u6578\u5982\u679c\u5920\u5927\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u975e\u51e1\u7684\u6539\u8b8a\u4e5f\u80fd\u7522\u751f\u975e\u51e1\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u300c\u6211\u8981\u600e\u9ebc\u505a\u624d\u80fd\u8cfa\u6700\u591a\uff1f\u300d\u800c\u662f\u300c\u6211\u80fd\u5920\u5728\u6700\u9577\u7684\u671f\u9593\u88e1\u7dad\u6301\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u5831\u916c\u6c34\u6e96\u662f\u591a\u5c11\uff1f\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8a31\u591a\u7684\u597d\u4e8b\u8207\u9032\u6b65\uff0c\u540c\u6a23\u5730\uff0c\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u6211\u5011\u5ffd\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u5947\u8e5f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u500b\u5c0f\u5c0f\u7684\u767c\u660e\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u6703\u767c\u5c55\u6210\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6a23\u5b50\uff0c\u6f5b\u529b\u96e3\u4ee5\u60f3\u50cf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6c92\u6709\u6838\u5f48\uff0c\u5c31\u4e0d\u6703\u767c\u73fe\u6838\u80fd\u7684\u548c\u5e73\u7528\u9014\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>**\u6240\u6709\u7684\u5275\u65b0\u90fd\u96e3\u4ee5\u9810\u6e2c\u53c8\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\u3002**\u6211\u5011\u5e7e\u4e4e\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u904b\u7528\u624b\u908a\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u63a8\u6f14\u51fa\u4ed6\u5011\u53ef\u80fd\u8b8a\u6210\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6a23\u8c8c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8cbb\u96ea\u5929\u64c7\u57fa\u672c\u5b9a\u7406\uff0c\u540c\u6a23\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u5275\u65b0\uff1a\u300c\u8b8a\u7570\u5c31\u662f\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u7fa4\u9ad4\u6108\u662f\u591a\u6a23\u5316\uff0c\u6108\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u7522\u751f\u80fd\u5920\u4e2d\u9078\u7684\u65b0\u6027\u72c0\u3002\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u77e5\u9053\u54ea\u4e9b\u6027\u72c0\u6709\u7528\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u5275\u9020\u51fa\u8a31\u8a31\u591a\u591a\u7684\u6027\u72c0\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u662f\u6709\u7528\u7684\u6027\u72c0\uff0c\u7121\u8ad6\u90a3\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6027\u72c0\uff0c\u5b83\u5011\u5c31\u6703\u7559\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u5730\u65b9\u3002\u300d\u5982\u540c\u6bcf\u6b21\u6709\u5275\u65b0\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5f88\u96e3\u5f97\u77e5\u5b83\u672a\u4f86\u80fd\u8207\u4ec0\u9ebc\u4e8b\u7269\u7d50\u5408\u8b8a\u5f97\u6709\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6211\u5011\u61c9\u8a72\u9ad4\u8a8d\u5230\uff1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol 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style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">6. 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60% \u7684\u5275\u9020\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u505a\u51fa\u597d\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u79d8\u8a23\u5c31\u662f\u7a0d\u5fae\u5077\u61f6\u4e00\u9ede\u3002\u4eba\u5011\u6703\u56e0\u70ba\u6c92\u8fa6\u6cd5\u865b\u5ea6\u5e7e\u500b\u5c0f\u6642\u800c\u6d6a\u8cbb\u597d\u591a\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-contrast-2-color has-text-color has-link-color has-medium-font-size wp-elements-a5974e533e6f2bb409beda20cebbc61d\">\u2014\u2014\u963f\u83ab\u65af\u30fb\u7279\u6c83\u65af\u57fa\uff08Amos Tversky\uff09<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u8861\u91cf\u6210\u529f\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u6a19\u6e96\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4f60\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u7a7a\u9592\u6642\u9593\u8981\u6d88\u78e8<\/strong>\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u9019\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u6210\u529f\u7684\u8861\u91cf\u6a19\u6e96\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u6210\u529f\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u8981\u7d20\u3002\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u6548\u7387\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u884c\u4e8b\u66c6\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u6bcf\u4e00\u5206\u9418\u90fd\u6709\u6eff\u6eff\u7684\u751f\u7522\u529b\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u537b\u72a7\u7272\u4e86\u597d\u5947\u5730\u56db\u8655\u6f2b\u904a\u8207\u4e0d\u53d7\u5e72\u64fe\u7684\u601d\u8003\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4e9b\u689d\u4ef6\u6700\u7d42\u5c07\u6210\u70ba\u6210\u529f\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u52a9\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f01\u696d\u7d93\u71df\u4e0a\uff0c\u6709\u610f\u7684\u7f3a\u4e4f\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4fdd\u7559\u4e00\u4e9b\u9592\u6563\u7684\u5f48\u6027\u3002\u5373\u6642\u751f\u7522\u6cd5\uff08Justintime\uff0cJIT\uff09\u662f\u904e\u53bb\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u4f86\u9ad8\u6548\u7387\u7d93\u71df\u7684\u5178\u7bc4\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u4e0d\u8a2d\u7f6e\u96f6\u4ef6\u5eab\u5b58\uff0c\u7522\u54c1\u88fd\u9020\u6d41\u7a0b\u4ef0\u8cf4\u6797\u5efa\u5728\u6700\u5f8c\u4e00\u523b\u5230\u4f4d\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u7206\u767c\uff0c\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u65b7\u88c2\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u88fd\u9020\u5546\u90fd\u767c\u73fe\u81ea\u5df1\u56b4\u91cd\u77ed\u7f3a\u5fc5\u9700\u54c1\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u60c5\u5883\u662f 2022 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class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u505a\u5c0d\u4e8b\u6703\u8b93\u4eba\u751f\u51fa\u4e00\u80a1\u81ea\u4fe1\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u81ea\u5df1\u4e0d\u6703\u505a\u932f\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e00\u500b\u6a39\u5927\u62db\u98a8\u3001\u7af6\u722d\u5c0d\u624b\u7dca\u8ddf\u5728\u5f8c\u7684\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u6bc0\u6ec5\u7684\u7279\u8cea\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u6210\u529f\u5f80\u5f80\u6703\u5e36\u4f86\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u800c\u6210\u9577\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u523b\u610f\u8ffd\u6c42\u4f86\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u7d44\u7e54\u5927\u5c0f\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u8b93\u67d0\u4e2d\u898f\u6a21\u53d6\u5f97\u6210\u529f\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u898f\u6a21\u4e0d\u540c\u53ef\u80fd\u5c31\u884c\u4e0d\u901a\u3002 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class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6211\u5011\u61c9\u8a72\u9ad4\u8a8d\u5230\uff1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u512a\u52e2\u6709\u4fdd\u5b58\u671f\u9650\u3002\u5f80\u5f80\u70ba\u6642\u77ed\u66ab\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u4ed6\u5011\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u6210\u529f\u6703\u57cb\u4e0b\u8b93\u81ea\u5df1\u8d70\u5411\u8870\u9000\u7684\u7a2e\u5b50\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u7269\u7a2e\u80fd\u9577\u4e45\u5b58\u7e8c\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u662f\u904b\u6c23\u6bd4\u8f03\u597d\u3002\u4efb\u4f55\u7269\u7a2e\u6ec5\u7d55\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u8207\u5b58\u7e8c\u671f\u9593\u9577\u77ed\u7121\u95dc\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u7af6\u722d\u5f9e\u4f86\u7121\u6cd5\u558a\u505c\u3002\u7576\u53d6\u5f97\u7af6\u722d\u512a\u52e2\uff0c\u5c31\u6703\u7acb\u523b\u523a\u6fc0\u7af6\u722d\u5c0d\u624b\u9032\u6b65\u3002\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u8ecd\u5099\u7af6\u8cfd\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u9059\u9059\u9818\u5148\uff0c\u4eab\u6709\u6ec5\u7d55\u8c41\u514d\u6b0a\u3002\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u6c38\u9060\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u4e5f\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u505c\u4e0b\u8173\u6b65\u3002\u53ea\u7559\u5728\u539f\u5730\uff0c\u4e0d\u65b7\u5954\u8dd1\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u6f14\u5316\u7121\u60c5\u53c8\u7d55\u4e0d\u624b\u8edf\uff0c\u7af6\u722d\u4e5f\u662f\u3002\u4ed6\u4e0d\u6703\u544a\u8a34\u4f60\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6771\u897f\u6709\u7528\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u900f\u904e\u6bc0\u6389\u6c92\u6709\u7528\u7684\u6771\u897f\u4f86\u7d66\u6211\u5011\u6559\u8a13\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u6c92\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u512a\u52e2\u80fd\u5920\u5f37\u5927\u5230\u8b93\u4f60\u5b89\u65bc\u73fe\u72c0\u3002\u770b\u4f3c\u8b93\u4f60\u9ad8\u6795\u7121\u6182\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u512a\u52e2\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u8b93\u4f60\u81ea\u53d6\u6ec5\u4ea1\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f60\u5f97\u4e0d\u65b7\u5954\u8dd1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">7. 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class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u6211\u4eba\u70ba\u6bcf\u500b\u4eba\u90fd\u61c9\u8a72\u81f4\u5bcc\u3001\u51fa\u540d\uff0c\u53bb\u505a\u5979\u5011\u5922\u60f3\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u5207\uff0c\u9019\u6a23\u4ed6\u5011\u5c31\u6703\u660e\u767d\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u81ea\u5df1\u60f3\u8981\u7684\u3002\u2014\u2014\u91d1\u51f1\u745e(Jim Carrey\uff09<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f9e\u4f86\u6c92\u9047\u904e\u6216\u807d\u805e\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u500b\u53d6\u5f97\u975e\u51e1\u6210\u5c31\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u751f\u6d3b\u904e\u7684\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u9810\u671f\u7684\u4e00\u6a23\u5e78\u798f\u5feb\u6a02\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6211\u5011\u61c9\u8a72\u9ad4\u8a8d\u5230\uff1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6240\u4ee5\u77e5\u9053\u662f\u4e00\u56de\u4e8b\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u9047\u4e0a\u662f\u4e00\u56de\u4e8b\u3002\u9664\u975e\u89aa\u8eab\u9ad4\u9a57\uff0c\u5426\u5247\u96e3\u4ee5\u60f3\u50cf\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u8108\u7d61\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u5bb9\u6613\uff0c\u5be6\u8e10\u96e3\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5c07\u4e8b\u7269\u62c9\u9577\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u671f\u9593\u6703\u7d93\u6b77\u591a\u5c11\u6b21\u7684\u6975\u7aef\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u80fd\u62b1\u6301\u539f\u5148\u7684\u89c0\u9ede\u8207\u4fe1\u5ff5\u5805\u6301\u591a\u4e45\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 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style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u4ef6\u6211\u5011\u758f\u65bc\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u4e8b\u5c31\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u4e2d\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u5c11\u6578\u7c21\u55ae\u4f46\u6c7a\u5b9a\u4e86\u5927\u591a\u6578\u7d50\u679c\u4e8b\u7269\u3002\u6211\u5011\u6df1\u53d7\u8907\u96dc\u3001\u80fd\u555f\u767c\u667a\u8b58\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u6240\u5438\u5f15\u3002\u7136\u800c\u56f0\u96e3\u4e0d\u6703\u5e6b\u4f60\u52a0\u5206\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u5bb3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u904e\u5ea6\u52aa\u529b<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u5ffd\u8996\u7c21\u55ae\u7684\u4e8b\u5be6\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5b83\u5728\u667a\u8b58\u4e0a\u6c92\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u555f\u767c\u3002\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e36\u4f86\u523a\u6fc0\u800c\u66f4\u53d7\u504f\u611b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u771f\u7406\u7684\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7279\u8cea\u5c31\u662f\u7c21\u55ae<\/strong>\uff0c\u4f46\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u6301\u7e8c\u6563\u767c\u51fa\u4e00\u7a2e\u75c5\u614b\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5b78\u7fd2\u8907\u96dc\u4e3b\u984c\u7684\u4e00\u9805\u6280\u5de7\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8fa8\u8b58\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u7d30\u7bc0\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u548c\u67d0\u500b\u7c21\u55ae\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u7cfb\u51fa\u540c\u6e90\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982\u6211\u5011\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u7761\u516b\u5c0f\u6642\u3001\u591a\u904b\u52d5\u3001\u5403\u539f\u578b\u98df\u7269\u3001\u4e0d\u8981\u5403\u592a\u591a\uff0c\u4fdd\u6301\u5065\u5eb7\uff0c\u5c31\u80fd\u907f\u514d\u5927\u591a\u6578\u75be\u75c5\u554f\u984c\u3002\u4f46\u8a2a\u9593\u6d41\u884c\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f\u71df\u990a\u88dc\u5145\u54c1\u3001\u5c0f\u8a23\u7ac5\u548c\u5404\u7a2e\u85e5\u4e38\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\u9ede\u51fa\u4e86\u5e7e\u9ede\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u6df1\u53d7\u8907\u96dc\u5197\u9577\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u5438\u5f15\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol 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